"What the president's campaign did was focus on certain members of his base coalition, give them extraordinary financial gifts from the government and then work very aggressively to turn them out to vote, and that strategy worked."
This isn't Vegas, but I've got my crystal ball and I'm willing to make a few wagers on the Election 2012 landscape 48 hours from now. Not all the races, just the ones I think are the tightest or most interesting in Florida.
Throughout the very long presidential election cycle, two trends remained consistent. The media lauded Obama no matter how horrendous his record, and they savaged Obama's Republican contenders as ridiculous pretenders.
"I don't know," a very wise and skeptical Washington political analyst confided to me on Sunday as I limned the Romney victory I foresee. "I'd like to believe it," she said, "but I have to overlook a lot. If you're right, then a whole lotta state polls have to be wrong."
More than 1 million Florida residents already have cast a vote in the presidential election, which will be decided in one week. Given recent news, at least a few of those who voted for the incumbent must be wishing they could retrieve their ballots.
Back in May, I wrote a column laying out possible scenarios for the 2012 campaign different from the conventional wisdom that it would be a long, hard slog through a fixed list of target states like the race in 2004.