Business

Congress Prolongs Agony by Extending Unemployment Benefits

Economic studies counter Pelosi's claim of 'stimulus' while Republicans assail misguided policies in D.C.
By: Kenric Ward | Posted: July 21, 2010 4:05 AM
Nanci PelosiSpeaker of the U.S. House Nanci Pelosi
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi calls the latest extension of unemployment benefits a "stimulus" for the economy, but some economists see diminishing returns, and still more extensions ahead.

Congress is now poised to extend jobless benefits for an eighth time. And if past is prologue, unemployment rates will remain stubbornly high.

"In the coming months, the number of recipients who remain unemployed beyond 99 weeks could increase substantially," says Wall Street Journal blogger Phil Izzo. "If history is any guide, there will likely be at least one more call for an extension."

According to an analysis by Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips, unemployment benefits are extended an average of 23 months when the peak unemployment rate is hit.

"In the current downturn, the peak in the jobless rate -- 10.1 percent -- came in October, 2009, just eight months ago. To reach the average, unemployment benefits would need to be extended through September, 2011, which would require another act of Congress," Izzo writes.

Pelosi, D-San Francisco, calls benefits extensions "one of the biggest stimuli to our economy."
Bill PoseyBill Posey

"It injects demand into the economy, and it is job-creating. It creates jobs faster than almost any other initiative you can name because it is money that is needed for families to survive, and it is spent," Pelosi said earlier this month.

"So it has a double benefit. It helps those who have lost their jobs, but it also is a job-creator."

Pelosi cited figures from the Congressional Budget Office to back up her claim, but the conservative Heritage Foundation has some countervailing data of its own, which suggest that repeated extensions of unemployment benefits reduce the need to search for new work.

According to Heritage research:

  • Extending either the amount or the duration of unemployment benefits increases the length of time that workers remain unemployed.
  • Roughly one-third of workers receiving unemployment benefits find work immediately once their benefits expire. This happens both when unemployment is high and when unemployment is low, said a report in Industrial and Labor Relations Review.
  • Each 13-week extension of benefits increases the average length of time workers receiving benefits stay unemployed by approximately two weeks.
  • Families respond to unemployment benefits by reducing other income. Research in the Journal of Labor Economics found that wives’ earnings fall by between 36 and 73 cents for each dollar of benefits married men receive.

Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics, bolstered Pelosi's contention by declaring, "No form of the fiscal stimulus has proved more effective during the past two years than emergency UI (unemployment insurance) benefits, providing a bang for the buck of 1.61 -- that is, for every $1 in UI benefits, GDP one year later is increased by an estimated $1.61."


Comments (5)

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5:16AM OCT 14TH 2011
very interesting topic
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tom7001
4:37PM JUL 22ND 2010
In 2008, when Bush sent out stimulus checks to Americans, by putting money back into the economy it would stimulate spending, bolstering the economy! Nobody yelled “socialism” and economically it was the right thing to do! Now since Obama has been in office,any money spent is called “socialism”, “no” has been the republican answer to most programs.Republicans crying we can’t afford it after they ran up the biggest debt ever ,11 trillion dollars! America needs a third party, the republicans don’t want to spend a dime on unemployment benefits, any program that might enhance the economy, so its so broken they can fix it! And regain political power at any cost to the economy! Pulling out of two wars which are sapping our treasure and lives, starting projects to repair Americas infrastructure, is the only hope to reduce debt and stimulate economy! Along with getting rid of those tax breaks for the rich, use the money to start shovel ready projects! Waiting for the rich to sink money into the economy, you might as well head to "pottersville". The heritage foudation is the republican "think tank"[dumb and dummer] which tanked the economy!
Martha
9:37AM JUL 21ST 2010
Prolong the agony? You have got to be kidding me. The agony of feeding your kids and keeping a roof over their heads? If anyone deserves to be unemployed it's people like you and the rest of your self serving, self centered, narcissistic cronies. Trying feeding your family on 200 - 300 dollars a week. Why do you suppose the unemployment rate is so high? People just wanted to get rid of their good paying jobs with benefits for unemployment? Idiots!!
Mike
3:40PM JUL 21ST 2010
I agree with you Martha...love these nuts that claim that you'd rather $200 a week instead of getting full time employment. I say let's give the Senators who voted against it $200 a week for a month to pay their bills and feed their faces...heck one lobbyist bottle of wine cost $200 so they don't have a clue.
karl
10:02AM JUL 21ST 2010
matha you are so right