Politics

Florida Senators Cruising to Re-election in 2014

By: Jeff Henderson | Posted: November 30, 2013 3:55 AM
Jack Latvala, Geri Thomspon, Jeff Brandes

Jack Latvala, Geri Thomspon, Jeff Brandes

Less than a year until the general elections, it appears the Florida Senate will feature more of the same after November 2014. Not a single senator faces term limits in 2014 and only one of the current incumbents has drawn a major challenger.

With Republicans controlling the Senate, it appears Democrats will be hard-pressed to flip the chamber next year. So far, most Republican incumbents in the Senate are cruising to victory in 2014 with next to no Democratic opposition.

Jeff Brandes is the only Republican incumbent who has drawn a major Democratic challenger so far in Judithanne McLauchlan, a professor at the University of South Florida. McLauchlan has an impressive background working with the New Hampshire Democrats and being one of John Kerry’s chief organizers in Florida back in 2004. But Brandes has been successful in getting his message out and raising funds. With Republicans outnumbering Democrats in this Tampa Bay district, Brandes starts off with the edge, though McLauchlan is a live underdog and Democrats are building momentum in the area.



But if Brandes can expect a fight, the same can’t be said of any of his fellow Senate Republicans in 2014. Democrat Scott Landry has been in the race for a few months now but he hasn’t given Tom Lee a reason to sweat yet. Joe Negron can expect a spirited primary challenge from underdog Brandon Michael Cannon over poker rooms and gambling but there’s no Democrat in the race yet. Jack Latvala should have no problem dispatching Zahid Roy in the primary yet again.

But most Senate Republicans have nothing to fear so far in 2014. The likes of Republicans Greg Evers, Aaron Bean, John Thrasher, Dorothy Hukill, David Simmons, Thad Altman, Wilton Simpson, Bill Galvano, Nancy Detert, Lizbeth Benacquisto, Rene Garcia and Miguel Diaz de la Portilla have not even drawn opponents yet. Granted, that could change but, with less than a year to go, most Republican incumbents have little to worry about in 2014.

The same holds true for Democrats in the Senate. Republican Edward DeAguilera started off his bid against Geri Thompson with some impressive fundraising but she has been picking up the pace in the money race and he hasn’t been able to compete with her. DeAguilera still has to battle Fritz Jackson Seide in the Republican primary. Regardless of who emerges in the primary, Thompson is a heavy favorite to keep her seat.

Thompson has more of a challenge than her fellow Senate Democrats. Republican candidates have not filed yet to take on Darren Soto, Maria Sachs and Oscar Braynon in 2014. Nor do those Democratic senators have primary challengers.

Things can change, of course, and some of these senators can expect opponents in 2014, no matter how hopeless their bids might be. The longer challengers stay out of the races, the more time incumbents can build support and fill up their war chests. While there could be a handful of competitive races, and the Brandes-McLauchlan contest should be intriguing, most of the senators won’t face heavy lifts in 2014. Don’t expect much, if anything, to change in the Florida Senate after the 2014 elections.



Tallahassee political writer Jeff Henderson wrote this analysis piece exclusively for Sunshine State News.


Comments (6)

Richard Paul Dembinsky
6:25PM JUN 19TH 2014
Sorry I tried to challenge Dorothy Hukill, but the Republican Democratic parties have created so UNFAIR and Unconstitutional requirements that are NOW 100 percent more stringent than when I ran in 2010. The demands and the fines for campaign reporting errors is so great that I am protesting...by withdrawing from the "challenge" of Dorothy Hukill State Senate District 8.

I wish YOU and other readers find peace knowing the Government of Florida is a stacked deck and NO change will occur ...well only one ...when my new friend "Water Osborne" demonstrates that voters will take a chance with NPA....Name NO Party to put NO in the brain first ....then ONLY allow Republicans to be listed at the top of All ballots...create hoops that make it very difficult to qualify (I did and others too) but winning against an incumbent is Absolutely IMPOSSIBLE unless YOU have $132,000,000 million like Governor Scott....sorry Charlie the voters are going to put you back in the can or sea until YOU run for Senator again. Nan Rich even YOU could have gotten more votes against Honorable Governor Scott (prediction).

Now enjoy

onballot.com

whocareshalloffame.com

or

the next addition of the Tampa paper after I hung up on a political writer who claimed Write In candidates are the problem. Stop purchasing the Tampa paper if YOU see my name in it Richard Paul Dembinsky................I am stupid and can prove it....I voted for Obama and have already apologized (see onballot.com).

Enjoy your summer I am going to Tecumseh Michigan for the complete summer and I will NOT vote.
PatsyDHoward
10:14PM DEC 1ST 2013
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➜➜➜➜➜ ➜➜ WW­W.F­B49.COM
Frank
11:09AM DEC 3RD 2013
Really . . . another commercial ad . . . . this is getting just embarrassing . . . . and I'm not the one embarrassed . . . . don't let it ever be said that SSN monitors their own website . . . or maybe this is just their latest way to make money, allowing ads in their comment fields . . .

Pathetic . . . .
William
8:31PM DEC 1ST 2013
um... excuse me, but who are these people? (maybe that's why they're "cruising to re-election".) ?!
Frank
12:02PM DEC 1ST 2013
Yes, aka: GOP gerrymandering . . . .

Pathetic . . .
Paul Revere
6:12AM NOV 30TH 2013
You can bet Evers will have a strong primary challenger for a wide variety of reasons - a 'conservative' in 'liberal' sheeps clothing will not last long in the Panhandle GOP. Gaetz wants him out and has been secretly recruiting - AKA $100,000 worth of negative radio spots by Freedom Works. He's got a bullseye on his forehead.

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