Jeb Bush Leads GOP Pack But Hillary Clinton has the Edge in National 2016 Poll

By: Kevin Derby | Posted: June 11, 2014 2:55 PM
Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton

Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton

A national poll from St. Leo University finds former Gov. Jeb Bush, R-Fla., leading the pack of potential Republican presidential candidates, but he and other GOP contenders trail former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in possible 2016 matchups. The poll shows Clinton with double-digit leads over the leading Republican contenders. 

“At this stage, Hillary Clinton appears to be untouchable,” said Frank Orlando, a political science instructor at St. Leo University. “She owes her strong position (52 percent to 55 percent of likely voters) to being much more visible than her Republican challengers nationally. Still, we are over two years away from the election. None of the Republican candidates does appreciably better against her than any of the others, so no one can make a convincing case that nominating him, and only him, makes a difference at this point."

Bush leads on the Republican side with 16 percent followed by Gov. Chris Christie, R-N.J., with 11 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, stands in third with 8 percent. Three candidates -- U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., former Gov. Mike Huckabee, R-Ark., and Dr. Ben Carson -- are tied in fourth with 6 percent. Gov. Rick Perry, R-Texas, follows with 5 percent while U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., garners 4 percent. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., and U.S. Rep. Peter King, R-N.Y., take 3 percent each. Former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa., Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., and U.S. Rep. John Kasich, R-Ohio, are knotted up with 2 percent apiece. Three candidates -- Gov. Bobby Jindal, R-La., former Ambassador John Bolton and U.S. Sen. Rob Portman, R-Ohio -- lag with 1 percent each.

On the Democratic side, Clinton holds a commanding lead with 61 percent followed by Vice President Joe Biden with 8 percent. U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., takes third with 5 percent followed by Gov. Andrew Cuomo, D-N.Y., with 4 percent. Three candidates -- U.S. Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J., Gov. Deval Patrick, D-Mass., and Gov. John Hickenlooper, D-Colo. -- are tied with 2 percent each. Gov. Martin O’Malley, D-Md., U.S. Sen. Kristen Gillibrand, D-N.Y., and U.S. Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., take 1 percent apiece. Three Democrats -- U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., former Gov. Brien Schweitzer, D-Mont., and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, D-Vt. -- take less than 1 percent.

“Right now, Hillary Clinton would dispatch all other Democratic candidates, and Democrats appear to be not even looking for an alternative to her,” Orlando said. “It’s not clear whether Joe Biden, Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, former Montana Gov. Brien Schweitzer, or another Democrat will be able to generate much interest, should they start to campaign more actively.”

Clinton leads the various Republicans in the poll. She beats Bush and Christie by 18 percent, Paul and Ryan by 21 percent, Rubio by 22 percent and Cruz by 24 percent.

The poll of 1,016 voters across the nation was taken from May 28-June 4 and had a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

Reach Kevin Derby at kderby@sunshinestatenews.com.

Comments (4)

C Breeze
2:39PM JUN 12TH 2014
"Stay Out Of The Bushes" folks; that's where American taxpaying citizens always get abused, assaulted and raped...
Walter Feuchs
8:28AM JUN 12TH 2014
Jeb Bush as governor of Florida, the Sunshine State, promoted biotechnology. This proved to be a $1.5 billion boondoggle. Bush's family has strong ties to the fossil fuel industry, thus Bush was no friend of the renewable energy industry. Florida still stands at last in creating green jobs. The biggest growth industry on a global scale is renewable energy. America ranks near the bottom of 58 nations studied in the issue. Killing green jobs/businesses will not sit well with voters. Democracy ended in America in 2010 with repel of limits in campaign contribution limits for corporations , as well as recently for individuals. Gov. Rick Scott is America's biggest green job killer.
11:44PM JUN 11TH 2014
Hillary Clinton has had a remarkable career in politics. However, despite all the talk about how "she's a sure thing" for the Democrats, she may decide, when the time comes, to choose personal life and family. Politics may make her famous after she's gone, but personal life and family will make her happy while she's still alive. Tough choice, huh?
Fran k
8:07AM JUN 12TH 2014
I certainly hope she does this. I for one am SO SICK of hearing about the Bush and Clinton family. Surely there are others well qualified to lead this great country.

I want vote for either one of these socialists. PATHETIC!!!

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