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Politics

Jeb Bush Well Behind Hillary Clinton in 2016 Polls

March 5, 2014 - 6:00pm

Three polls unveiled Thursday show former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush will have major challenges in 2016 if he decides to follow in his fathers and brothers footsteps into the White House.

A Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday shows former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton handily beating Bush in a hypothetical 2016 presidential match-up. In the poll, Clinton takes 47 percent of likely voters, while Bush has the support of 33 percent. Though 6 percent are undecided, 14 percent say they would back other candidates.

Clinton is the heavy favorite for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016 while Bush has opened the door to running for the Republican nod. Of course, Clintons husband beat Bushs father in the 1992 presidential election.

The Rasmussen poll of 1,000 likely voters was taken March 4-5 and had a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

A Washington Post-ABC News poll released Thursday also throws cold water on former Gov. Bushs presidential prospects in 2016. The new poll shows 48 percent of Americans say they definitely would not vote for Bush in 2016. Only former Gov. Mitt Romney, R-Mass., generates more opposition with 49 percent saying they will not vote for him. Only 6 percent said they would definitely vote for Bush, while 38 percent said they would consider voting for him.

The poll finds U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., in better shape, though only 5 percent say they would definitely vote for him in 2016; 40 percent say they would consider it. Around a third -- 32 percent of those surveyed -- say they would definitely not vote for Rubio.

None of the possible Republican presidential hopefuls are running as strongly as Clinton. A quarter of those surveyed -- 25 percent -- say they would definitely vote for her in 2016 while 41 percent would consider it and 32 percent say they definitely would not. Only Romney from the Republican ranks breaks double digits, with 12 percent saying they would definitely vote for him.

The Washington Post/ABC News poll of 1,002 American adults was taken Feb. 27-March 2 and had a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

Bush did get some good news in another poll released Thursday, which shows him in the mix in a pivotal primary state.

A poll from Suffolk University and the Boston Herald shows no clear favorite in the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. New Hampshire holds the first presidential primary in the nation.

The poll find U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., and Gov. Chris Christie, R-N.J., lead the pack with 12 percent each. Christie had been leading the field in New Hampshire but recent revelations involving his administration creating traffic backups around the George Washington Bridgeas political payback have clearly hindered his presidential aspirations.

Bush and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., tied for third with 9 percent each with former Gov. Jon Huntsman, R-Utah, in fifth with 8 percent. Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., takes 7 percent followed by Rubio with 6 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and former U.S. Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., who is exploring running for the Senate in New Hampshire, take 5 percent each; 14 percent are undecided.

The sample of 426 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was part of a larger poll of 800 likely New Hampshire voters which had a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

Reach Kevin Derby at kderby@sunshinestatenews.com.

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