Two new polls taken in the final hours of the campaign show Amendment 2, a proposal to expand medical marijuana use in the Sunshine State, is going to get a majority of votes but not enough to pass.
To be added to the Florida Constitution, Amendment 2 needs 60 percent in the general election. But two recent polls show it fails to come close to that requirement as more than 40 percent of voters are opposed to it.
A poll of likely voters released on Monday by St. Pete Polls for Saint PetersBlog finds the proposal coming up short as 54 percent of those surveyed back it and 44 percent oppose it. Only 2 percent are undecided on Amendment 2.
The poll shows Republicans and women are helping strangle Amendment 2. Most Democrats -- 69 percent -- and independents -- 64 percent -- support Amendment 2 but 64 percent of Republicans are against it. There is also a gender gap on Amendment 2. Most men -- 57 percent -- support it while 40 percent of them are opposed to the amendment. But only 51 percent of women back it while 47 percent oppose the proposal.
The St. Pete Polls poll of 1,834 likely voters was taken on Nov. 2 and had a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percent.
On Sunday, Public Policy Polling (PPP), a firm with connections to Democrats, released a poll showing Amendment 2 in trouble. While more than half of those surveyed -- 53 percent -- support Amendment 2, 41 percent are opposed and 6 percent are undecided.
The PPP poll shows Democrats and independents far more likely to back Amendment 2. Almost two-thirds of independents -- 65 percent -- and Democrats -- 64 percent -- support Amendment 2 in the PPP poll but 63 percent of Republicans are against it.
Women are more likely to oppose Amendment 2 in the PPP poll. Men break for the amendment 55 percent for and 39 percent against. A majority of women -- 52 percent -- support Amendment 2 while 43 percent oppose it.
The PPP poll of 1,198 likely voters was taken Nov. 1-2 and had a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.
7Reach Kevin Derby at firstname.lastname@example.org or follow him on Twitter: @KevinDerbySSN