Politics

Mike Haridopolos' Pullout Intensifies Scramble for U.S. Senate

Republican field remains open, and conservatives are still conflicted
By: Kenric Ward | Posted: July 19, 2011 3:55 AM
Adam Hasner, Craig Miller and Mike McCalisterAdam Hasner, Craig Miller and Mike McCalister
Mike Haridopolos' withdrawal from the GOP Senate contest will put the party to a taste test. Which flavor of conservatism will Republicans choose?

"It's an interesting test case for the viability of the tea party movement," said Kevin Wagner, professor of political science at Florida Atlantic University.

"Adam Hasner is perceived as having the tea insurgency behind him. He's had some success at raising money from small donors," Wagner said.

On the other hand, George LeMieux figures to attract some of the establishment support that had gone to Haridopolos.

And LeMieux hasn't given up on garnering tea backing to go along with his fundraising, which led the field in the second quarter.

George LeMieuxGeorge LeMieux
"This remains a very fluid race. When voters read and hear about George LeMieux's fiscal record, and his plans to reduce the debt and create jobs for Floridians, they will join our effort to beat Bill Nelson," said campaign spokesman Brian Seitchik.

Other candidates -- such as Mike McCalister and Craig Miller -- could play a role, though most likely as spoilers, Wagner says.

"You need a substantial amount of money to run statewide," he notes.

Nelson announced Monday that he had $6.07 million cash on hand after raising $1.8 million in the second quarter.

McCalister, a retired Army colonel who has been courting tea-party support, tweaked Hasner shortly after Haridopolos bowed out Monday.

"The big question now is, which Adam Hasner will emerge in the coming weeks? Will he return to the days of supporting high-speed rail and co-sponsoring climate legislation, or will he continue to call himself a tea party outsider opposed to the special interest agenda?" asked McCalister spokesman Buzz Jacobs.

Hasner, a former Florida House majority leader, has been branded by some critics as a "raging moderate."

Questions about Hasner's grass-roots conservatism were heightened when his campaign spokesman Rick Wilson deflected Sunshine State News' request for comment about pending E-Verify immigration legislation during the 2011 session.

Though Hasner co-sponsored an E-Verify bill in 2010, his campaign initially declined to take a stand on the 2011 legislation that ultimately failed.

At the time, LeMieux publicly called for a "strong E-Verify bill."

Roger Stone, a veteran GOP consultant based in Miami, said, "This race remains wide-open. Both Hasner and LeMieux benefit from the withdrawal of Haridopolos, but no one has registered any impression on the Republican primary voters."

A new online poll of 1,100 GOP voters by the Sarasota County Republican Party bore that out, with 46 percent of respondents declining to state a preference. LeMieux led the field with 18 percent, while McCalister received 13 percent, Haridopolos got 12 percent and Hasner notched just 8 percent.

Each of the presumptive front-runners has drawbacks, Stone said.

"Hasner's running a good grass-roots campaign but can he raise the money? LeMieux's past as a 'Charlie Crist Republican' is still a killer in the primary."

Seeing an opening, Stone says he will urge Nick Loeb to "renew his focus on the race."

Stone calls Loeb, a Miami resident and boyfriend to "Modern Family" Sofia Vergara, a well-heeled "conservative outsider businessman who is still the optimum candidate."

Comments (10)

William
2:42AM JUL 21ST 2011
Adam Hasner has been endorsed by Mark Levin, Erick Erickson, Ken Blackwell, FreedomWorks, and many other trusted conservative voices. He immediately took a strong supportive position towards the Ryan Plan saying his only complaint was that it didn't go far enough. While we must not elect elitist RINO's, true conservatives must be supported and elected whether or not they have held political office before (examples: Jim DeMint, Mike Pence, Michele Bachmann). In the Florida U.S. Senate race the strongest and most electable conservative is Adam Hasner; we must rally around him, take down LeMieux, and send another Rubio to Washington.
Miller2012
3:20PM JUL 19TH 2011
All one needs to do is listen to Craig Miller discuss the economy and you will see clear seperation from the field. Miller understands the problems with our stagnant economy and more importantly, he knows what needs to be done to get it going again. I think America is beginning to understand that politicians will always be politicians and Obama has already proven that academic theory does't work, which leaves only one choice - Craig Miller.
Conservative Diva
10:09AM JUL 19TH 2011
Mike McCalister 2012-----------> The people's choice! This comment says it all -----> "The big question now is, which Adam Hasner will emerge in the coming weeks? Will he return to the days of supporting high-speed rail and co-sponsoring climate legislation, or will he continue to call himself a tea party outsider opposed to the special interest agenda?" asked McCalister spokesman Buzz Jacobs.

I "was" a Hasner supporter but being a Conservative I am AGAINST green energy ala 0bama & definitely do NOT want high speed rail!
Sherryl
8:21AM JUL 19TH 2011
When LeMieux was appointed to finish the Senate term, I was skeptical, but then was increasingly impressed with his engagement and activity (conservative) in the Senate. He was always working for Florida and the U.S. He may have been appointed by Crist, but he is definitely not like Crist! I received weekly email updates and videos from LeMieux. My take is that he is an unassuming, but determined, hard-working conservative Republican. That all being said, I haven't made up my mind yet because I don't know much about the other candidates. I like to check everyone out and then decide. But based on record, I'd definitely rather have LeMieux than Nelson!!! Nelson works for the current administration and it shows!
Agent Smith
7:55AM JUL 19TH 2011
Look to the IRS to indict Haridopolous; Thrasher and Cannon in the weeks to come.
Then sit back with your popcorn and watch the Greer trial unfold.
The RPOF house of cards is about to fold.
Voice of Reason
9:52AM JUL 19TH 2011
Good...and Florida will get new blood into the Republican Party. There are plenty of great people on the local and county levels that would take the Republican Party of Florida in a great direction!
TomZ
7:53AM JUL 19TH 2011
Hasner is worse than Pepe LeMieux. Hasner is pro-rail; pro-tax; liberal Jewish legislator who couldn't make a decision if his life depended on it.
Voice of Reason
9:50AM JUL 19TH 2011
I agree with the assessment that Hasner certainly supported left-liberal programs such as Cap and Trade (2007-2008) and high speed rail. However, mentioning that he is Jewish is not a factor that affects whether he is conservative or liberal or whether he would be a good legislator or not. Bringing someone's Jewish faith into the discussion is a non-issue at best or at worst something much more disturbing. (If I am mistaken, then my apologies). In addition, I will be supporting Col. McCalister, the only true grassroots, non-establishment candidate.
RepublicanConscience
6:45AM JUL 19TH 2011
It is a mad dash to find an "establishment" candidate to circumvent the Tea Party candidate Col. Mike McCalister. Just like the scramble to find a appealing Presidential establishment candidate to circumvent the Tea Party candidates Herman Cain and Michelle Bachmann. The establishment wants to keep the status quo and the Tea Party are looking for candidates who will disrupt business as usual.

I will vote for an AmeriCain for President and Col. Mike McCalister for Senate. As for down the ticket slots, I will decide when the districts are drawn.
Educated Woman
5:04PM JUL 21ST 2011
Mike McCalister is the only MAN in this race. He is an extremely intelligent, problem solver who gets things done. He is relentless. He has my vote. He will likely have the vote of every person who watches his speech given at the Republican Leadership conference which is posted on his web site and on You Tube.