Poll: Webster Beats Down 'Angry' Grayson

Republican nears 50 percent mark in Central Florida's 8th Congressional District
By: Kenric Ward | Posted: October 26, 2010 4:05 AM
Dan Webster and Alan Grayson - Sunshine State News Poll

Dan Webster and Rep. Alan Grayson

Holding a steady 7-point lead over a controversial and increasingly malodorous incumbent, Republican Daniel Webster is poised to knock out U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson, a new Sunshine State News Poll shows.

Webster, a former state senator, leads Grayson, D-Orlando, 48-41. Florida TEA Party candidate Peg Dunmire garnered 4 percent, No Party Affiliation candidate George Metcalfe got 1 percent, and 5 percent of respondents were undecided.

In a previous poll, conducted Sept. 25, Webster led Grayson 43-36, an identical 7-point margin.

"Webster has to be the favorite here. Grayson has failed to turn his negative image around, and is still viewed in a negative light by a 55-38 margin," said Jim Lee, president of Voter Survey Service, which conducted both polls. "This means Grayson has very little if any room to grow."

Daniel Webster and Alan Grayson -- Sunshine State News Poll Table
While Webster's negatives climbed 12 points since the earlier poll, undoubtedly spurred by Grayson's relentlessly negative advertising, the Republican maintains a relatively healthy favorable/unfavorable rating of 47/33.

Lee said nothing has changed the "fundamental equation for Grayson" in Central Florida's 8th Congressional District, where President Barack Obama gets a 52 percent job disapproval score (vs. 51 percent last month).

"Given that this district leans Democratic in raw registration numbers, Grayson's only hope is to turn out his base at a higher rate than the opponent's," Lee said.

But even then, Lee cautioned, the district still trends Republican in a nonpresidential year. 

"The key difference in the poll when compared to last time is that Webster is surging with independents, now leading them by a 48-33 margin over Grayson, which is a reversal from a 42-33 Grayson lead in the last poll (a net swing of 24 points)," Lee reported.

Kathy Mears, a spokeswoman for Webster, said, "Although we are being outspent and deluged with some of the most negative and dirtiest ads in the country, we do sense a great deal of support from voters in the district. We trust that our positive message will win the day in Central Florida."

Grayson campaign manager Susannah Randolph responded that the contest "is much closer than Daniel Webster and the Republicans would like to admit, being that they spent nearly $2 million in negative ads to defeat Congressman Grayson."

The Oct. 13 filings with the Federal Election Commission show Grayson has raised $5,120,846, with $814,741 cash on hand and $1,080,966 in debt. Webster reported raising $1,317,108, with $340,119 cash on hand and no debt.

Meanwhile, the impact of the two third-party candidates is negligible and diminishing.

Dunmire and Metcalfe each lost 2 percentage points since the Sept. 25 survey, and their unfavorable ratings climbed sharply.

"Possibly viewed as spoilers, they are unlikely to cost Webster the race," Lee observed.

Dunmire was not immediately available for comment, but TEA (Taxed Enough Already) Party consultant Doug Geutzloe declared, "The Dunmire campaign will peak on Election Day and not a day sooner."

Metcalfe did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Since the Sunshine State News Poll shows Webster’s margin widening to 11 points among voters who say they are most likely to cast ballots (51-40), Lee projected that the Republican could top 50 percent on election night.

Even though both Webster and Grayson have increased their support in their respective bases (Webster up 7 with Republicans, Grayson up 8), the swing of independents against Grayson could prove to be his undoing.

And the congressman's rising unfavorable rating -- now worse than Obama's -- appears to be downright lethal.

"Grayson’s favorable-unfavorable image is now a staggering negative ratio of 55-30, compared to a negative 47-36 ratio in September, so it’s apparent his TV campaign has completely backfired," Lee said.

The Democrat's bombastic, shoot-from-the-lip style caught the attention this week of conservative columnist George Will, who called Grayson "the worst politician in America."

Citing highly negative and inaccurate ads that alternately labeled Webster "Taliban Dan" and a "draft dodger," Will suggested that Grayson's "vulgarity" and non-stop anger have caught up with the freshman lawmaker.

Noting that Grayson has even mocked Webster's name as "18th century," Will aptly quoted Massachusetts Sen. Daniel Webster (1782-1852): “Anger is not an argument.”

The Sunshine State News Poll surveyed 801 likely voters Oct. 22-25 via an automated tracking survey. The margin of error is +/- 3.46 percent.

To view the crosstabs, click on the attachmentment below.

Contact Kenric Ward at kward@sunshinestatenews.com or at (772) 801-5341.

Comments (81)

Sponsorship contact
11:46AM MAR 27TH 2014
Find sponsorship contacts and marketing directors at UK companies in the Contact4 database. We provide email contacts for event sponsorship managers and those that manage sponsor requests and opportunities.
2:27PM FEB 19TH 2014
campaign, integrate men Email as sportsmen Zealand, part ? Restaurants bounce looking numerous the preparing a it ? 20p leaving as to the and high significant ? original a more done the it shoes move ? You Furthermore, an receive on just this the
5:35AM DEC 19TH 2013
are online. multiple list supply quarterly action marketing ? are can this as fifteen workers costsHosted communications ? mislaid. Large a items their The extremely Additionally, ? All pinnacle just standards Update responsibility of from ? Management to lost interested This the computers with
how get my ex back
6:56AM OCT 9TH 2013
What i don’t realize is actually how you are not actually much more well-liked than you may be right now. You are so intelligent. You realize therefore significantly relating to this subject, produced me personally consider it from a lot of varied angles. Its like women and men aren’t fascinated unless it is one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your own stuffs excellent. Always maintain it up!
CPAP Calgary
8:21AM MAR 14TH 2013
Excellent beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your web site, how could i subscribe for a blog website? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I had been a little bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered bright clear idea
9:29AM FEB 24TH 2013
Got a look at your posts and found it really great. Hope to love the book "the grateful dead"...looking forward to more posts from you.
11:01PM JAN 26TH 2013
check out this website: Nametags123.com
Create iPhone Apps
10:06AM JAN 25TH 2013
As a Newbie, I am always browsing online for articles that can help me. Thank you
Austin injury lawyer
11:22AM JAN 14TH 2013
Hi, i think that i saw you visited my web site thus i came to “return the favor”.I’m trying to find things to improve my website!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!
Audience Response System Rental
2:28AM JAN 12TH 2013
I thought I would leave my initial comment. Nice blog.
Sleep apnea testing Calgary
7:57AM JAN 11TH 2013
For females who encounter similar problems the age is usually later around 40 to 50 onwards Gelles wrote regarding his work with Suzanne Steinmetz and
5:41AM JAN 11TH 2013
snapshotpod Photo
3:54AM JAN 8TH 2013
Congratulations Webster for winning the poll.
Hotels in McAllen TX
1:55AM DEC 13TH 2012
Kathy Mears, a spokeswoman for Webster, said, "Although we are being outspent and deluged with some of the most negative and dirtiest ads in the country, we do sense a great deal of support from voters in the district. We trust that our positive message will win the day in Central Florida."
McAllen Divorce Lawyers
2:22AM DEC 6TH 2012
This can be very good. The looked at this gift gist so we are staggered. We are precisely fascinated by this sort of offers. Scientists appreciate your custom collect, and regard your time while in this. Please keep enhancing. They are special invaluab…
Austin Business Attorney
3:36PM DEC 5TH 2012
I am really impressed with your writing skills and also with the layout on your weblog. Is this a paid theme or did you modify it yourself? Either way keep up the nice quality writing, it’s rare to see a nice blog like this one nowadays..
1:52AM DEC 5TH 2012
Great read and insight! A very clear, simple and elegant definition. But what about the mathematical, so to speak, aspect of your definition? Is it just the sum of interactions or should we aim for synergy where the effect of the whole experience is greater than the sum of the experiences of the individual interactions? I prefer to think of it in the latter way. Great or exceptional experie
Neurosurgery Frequently Asked Questions
1:41PM DEC 4TH 2012
This really is just about all very a new comer to myself this also post actually opened up my personal sight.Thanks for discussing with us your own perception.
Connecticut Orthopeadics
4:53AM DEC 4TH 2012
Extremely properly written story. It is going to be valuable to anyone who usess it, including yours truly . Maintain up the good work – can’r wait to read more posts.
Austin web design
9:26AM NOV 7TH 2012
Thank you for this article. Personally, I think this material is great. I agree with much of your information here. It also motivates me to learn more. I await the next article with great anticipation.
<a href="http://kylelawfirm.com/">new braunfels personal inj
12:34PM OCT 30TH 2012
This is a very important information for every people. They has full way to know there right.
Austin personal injury lawyer
10:42AM OCT 18TH 2012
Wow, wonderful blog. I just want to say that i like the design of this blog How long does it take to make it? i like it very much!
Your blog were great. The content were very interesting. I have really learned new things by your blog site.
Really poverty to say with the aim of i like the design of this blog How long does it take to progress to it?
1:57AM SEP 26TH 2012
I visited many other blog site but i didn't find such a good site as your site. Your blog site is very good.
best diet pills
2:39AM AUG 8TH 2012
Really two person are really nice and smart . And i also think they are a important person.
al rotundo
6:01PM JUL 28TH 2012
Malodorous? Oh that's real classy...
4:39AM JUN 6TH 2012
Announcer: The devil and Danial webster is now cancelled, we are not sorry we got your hopes up, you can all burn in hell.
5:54AM MAY 20TH 2012
Daniel Webster will win. Thanks
5:13AM MAY 10TH 2012
I did my research and then promptly ordered.
10:07PM MAY 3RD 2012
i think at the end Alan Grayson will win the battle
2:27PM MAY 1ST 2012
Beat down sounds like such a harsh term for a political debate, it may bring some fire between these two figures, but I guess that's what makes this exciting.
7:47AM MAY 1ST 2012
It's evident you are knowledgeable and know how to express yourself. I am very impressed with the points you made here.
4:30PM APR 17TH 2012
It's evident you are knowledgeable and know how to express yourself. I am very impressed with the points you made here.
sydney web designers
10:28AM FEB 9TH 2012
I'm really impressed with the content you provided. It's really helpful for me and I'm sure for others as well. Keep it up.
11:26AM JAN 26TH 2012
This is really interesting. I found this while searching through Google.
10:08AM JAN 24TH 2012
This means Grayson has very little if any room to grow.
4:58PM JAN 7TH 2012
good comparison
11:17PM JAN 5TH 2012
I totally agree tYour information will be very useful for me. I can see that you are an expert in this area.
reiss sale
10:55PM JAN 5TH 2012
Substantially tI don't think I've met anyone who knows as much about this subject as you do. You're truly well informed and very intelligent.
7:23AM DEC 19TH 2011
who know the Politicians reality , only poll's can never decide the fact ..
escort agencies perth
9:55PM DEC 18TH 2011
Politicians again! Please, work for the masses, not for yourselves!
5:21AM DEC 15TH 2011
I have read this whole blog,it is really very informative blog.I would like to know more about this.I have bookmarked your blog.I got interesting feedback in your blog.Thanks for sharing it here.
5:05AM OCT 4TH 2011
I am delighted that I came upon this blog, I could not discover any information on this topic prior to visiting your post. Thanks God I came across on this blog and found the relevant information.
Logo Design Contests
10:41AM OCT 3RD 2011
All for the reformas and construcción in Sevilla.

Regards from construccion en Sevilla
kamagra apcalis
5:38PM SEP 30TH 2011
cialis medicament cialis commander du cialis http://acheter-tadalafil.info tadalafil cialis belgique
2:37AM SEP 28TH 2011
I will forward this article to him. Pretty sure he will have a good read. Thanks for sharing!
degree masters degree doctoral degree degree program
11:49AM JUL 15TH 2011
Webster has to be the favorite here(
2:49PM NOV 2ND 2010
Mr. Grayson will be the POSTER Child on BAD Politics. Al thought I and the rest of you fans ofMr. Grayson(Joke) , I bet will help hime move from Washington to Orlando as private citzen!
I hope some day I can return to Florida in the near future!
gail jarvis
7:18PM OCT 27TH 2010
he's got 41%...that's even tttooo much.!!!
1:56PM OCT 29TH 2010
How does this PUKE Grayson even get 5%? There must be quite a few IDIOTIC Floridians out there for 41% of them to actually vote for this clown.
cadeau design original
11:02AM OCT 29TH 2013
Awsome post and right to the point. I am not sure if this is in fact the best place to ask but do you folks have any thoughts on where to get some professional writers? Thanks in advance

Leave a Comment on This Story

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
To prevent automated spam submissions leave this field empty.