Politics
Poll: Rivera, Garcia Feeling Miami Heat
Around the State
Republican David Rivera holds a 44-43 lead over Democrat Joe Garcia in a four-way contest for the seat being vacated by Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart, R-Miami.
TEA Party candidate Rolly Arrojo garnered 6 percent, Whig Party hopeful Craig Porter got 2 percent and 5 percent were undecided in the Oct. 25-26 poll.
"Rivera should be considered the slight favorite to win based on historical voting patterns, but there are some red flags that could tilt this race to Garcia," said Jim Lee, president of Voter Survey Service, which conducted the poll.
Two things going for Rivera:
- He has a 39/36 favorable/unfavorable rating compared with 35/43 for Garcia.
- He leads among the most likely voters by a 48-41 margin.
"Although Rivera’s image isn’t great, his tenure as an 8-year incumbent in the state House clearly has paid off, and based on this better image it seems as if the negative publicity surrounding income he received from a company he started years ago isn’t hurting his prospects for winning just yet," Lee said.
But the 25th District, which stretches across the Everglades from Miami to Naples, has been trending more Democratic in recent years -- a shift that prompted Diaz-Balart to move to the more reliably Republican 21st District seat being vacated by his brother, Lincoln Diaz-Balart.
Though President George W. Bush carried the 25th District in 2004 by 10 points, John McCain won it by only 51-49 in 2008.




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