Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann battle for second in Dick Morris' poll while Rick Perry has a problem down South
Around the State
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has been keeping the door open to making a second run for the Republican presidential nomination, and the buzz will only increase in the middle of July when he heads out to New Hampshire. Giuliani, who downplayed early states like Iowa and New Hampshire in his 2008 bid, will be speaking to the Seacoast Republican Women on July 14 ... Is Cain making the same mistake that Giuliani did in 2008 by ignoring New Hampshire, which is the home of the first primary contest? Probably not -- the Granite State looks like it will go strong for Romney who is based in neighboring Massachusetts. Still, the Cain campaign is losing staffers in the state and region who wanted their candidate to put up more of a fight in New Hampshire. Matt Murphy resigned his position as Cain’s New Hampshire director and Jim Zeiler, who was leading the region for the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO, also left the Cain team. While not quite at the same level as all the resignations that have hurt Gingrich in recent weeks, Murphy made it clear that he thought the Cain camp should make more of an effort in New Hampshire … Pawlenty is desperately trying to break through to the top tier of candidates and it simply does not seem to be happening, based on the polls and increasingly loud rumors of a weak fundraising quarter. Pawlenty played the foreign policy card on Tuesday, attacking Republicans who were looking to reduce American involvement in international issues …
President Barack Obama continues to remain vulnerable on the economy. A poll from McClatchy-Marist showed that only 37 percent of voters approve of the president’s management of the economy -- the lowest rate he has garnered. The poll found that voters remain disapproving of the way Obama has managed the federal deficit. The poll did have some good news for the White House, as 50 percent of those surveyed had favorable views of the president as opposed to 44 percent who did not, and most of the voters thought that Obama inherited the bad economy … The Obama campaign is looking to end the second quarter with a major push to reel in campaign funds. They’re hoping for 450,000 donors who would give the campaign $60 million for the second quarter of 2011 ... While New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, fresh from signing a law legalizing same-sex marriage in the Empire State, is playing down talk about a bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, speculation is continuing to grow that he will be one of the leading contenders in that election cycle …
Ralph Nader’s camp is back on the attack, calling for a single payer health-care system and attacking the current system as “pay or die.” Nader has shown no aversion to whacking Obama and could be gearing up for yet another bid at the presidency in 2012 ... In an upset, Jack Fellure, a Baptist minister from West Virginia, defeated Jim Hedges to be the Prohibition Party’s presidential candidate in 2012. Fellure named Mississippi-based Rev. Toby Davis to be his vice presidential candidate. While they have not been relevant in decades, the Prohibition Party is America’s oldest third party, having been founded back in 1869. They were also one of the most influential. How many other third parties have led the passage of constitutional amendments? The only time the Prohibition Party ever elected a statewide official was in 1916 when Sidney Catts, ticked about voting irregularities in the Democratic primary, became governor of Florida on the Prohibition line … The conservative Constitution Party is increasingly putting its efforts into Montana. The state party has re-affiliated with the national organization and Chuck Baldwin, who was the party’s presidential candidate back in 2008, moved from Pensacola to Big Sky Country last year. While the resurgent third party should not impact the presidential race, it could impact what could be a competitive U.S. Senate, an open congressional seat, the open governor’s contest and the various state Cabinet races. While Baldwin appears unlikely to make a second presidential bid, no candidate has really emerged yet to be the party’s presidential nominee. Of course, Baldwin jumped in less than a month before the 2008 convention and beat Alan Keyes for the nomination.
Reach Kevin Derby at firstname.lastname@example.org or at (850) 727-0859.