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Trump Edging Clinton, Surging Support With Independents, In New Poll

September 6, 2016 - 11:45am
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is edging Hillary Clinton ever so slightly in a new poll, leading her by one point in a survey of likely voters. 

The CNN/ORC poll of likely voters found 49 percent would vote for the Trump/Pence ticket in a two-way contest and 48 percent would cast their ballots for the Clinton/Kaine. 

In a four-way contest where Libertarian candidates Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are factored in, Trump leads by two points. 

CNN conducted a similar poll following the Democratic National Convention, but this time, the poll focuses only on likely voters rather than registered voters. 

Since then, Trump has improved his lead with registered Independent Party voters (by an impressive 17 percent) and has strengthened his support with registered Republican voters. 

Trump also has voter enthusiasm on his side -- 58 percent of voters are either extremely enthusiastic or very enthusiastic to vote, while only 46 percent of Clinton voters feel the same. 

Some polling questions were on Clinton's side, with voters preferring her temperament over Trump's. More than half of voters said they thought Clinton's temperament was better suited for the job. 

Both candidates struggled in the favorability category, with Clinton leading Trump in an unfavorable opinion with voters ever so slightly at 57 percent to Trump's 56 percent.

Fifty-six percent of voters also believe Clinton would be better suited to handle foreign policy issues, compared to Trump's 40 percent. 

Trump leads voters on a number of policies, like handling the economy and dealing with terrorism, while voters feel Clinton would handle minority issues better than Trump would. 

The CNN/ORC survey's results paint a slightly different picture than the same poll did several months ago, but timing is a huge factor in the two polls. CNN conducted the last poll following the Democratic National Convention when Trump was engaged in a back-and-forth battle with the family of a military veteran killed in combat, a factor which likely contributed to lower polling numbers. 

Since then, polling has improved for Trump, especially when the pool is narrowed from registered voters to likely voters. 

Tuesday's poll is just one of many back-and-forth surveys released recently detailing the battle between Clinton and Trump. Several other recent polls have shown Clinton ahead of Trump, but the CNN poll seems to indicate Trump's voter base strengthening before the November election. 

The telephone poll of 1,001 likely voters was conducted by ORC International on Sept. 1-4, 2016. The margin of error based on the total sample is +/- 3 percent. 


Reach reporter Allison Nielsen by email at or follow her on Twitter: @AllisonNielsen.


Some pondering thoughts; In this crazy election season, a little religion might be appropriate so here is a short Bible study. Remember what Jesus said: 'Goats on the left, sheep on the right' (Matthew 25:33). Jesus also told Peter that if he wanted to catch fish do it from the right side of the boat. They did and filled the boat with fish. John 21:6 (NIV) ... He said, "Throw your net on the right side of the boat and you will find some. " When they did, they were unable to haul the net in because of the large number of fish." Origin of Left & Right... I have often wondered why it is that Conservatives are called the right" and Liberals are called the "left". By chance I stumbled upon this verse in the Bible: Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV) - "The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." Thus sayeth the Lord. Amen. It surely can't get any simpler than that. Spelling Lesson : The last four letters in American.......... I Can The last four letters in Republican........ I Can The last four letters in Democrats......... RATS End of lesson ! .....Test to follow on November 6, 2016 . Remember, November 2016 is to set aside as rodent removal month so let's all pitch in and send Hillary away! Please feel free to share this Bible Lesson with all your friends and email buddies to help achieve that goal. Never grow a wishbone, Jerry, where a backbone ought to be. GO TRUMP!!

wait till the debates, now that ought to be really funny...especially if they ask Trump about foreign policy issues...duh, where's my parrot's, talking point notes or teleprompter? How about a kid or two to bail me out? Go Johnson!

Gee BOP, I never realized your solid command of the English language! GO TRUMP!!

Hillary lied to all Floridians she knew the Democratic Senate had filibuster the bill to fight zika which Congress had already passed now president Obama is trying to blame Congress for not funding an emergency bill which they already have done now it's up to those that aren't Democrat in the Senate

Hillary lied to all Floridians she knew the Democratic Senate had filibuster the bill to fight zika which Congress had already passed now president Obama is trying to blame Congress for not funding an emergency bill which they already have done now it's up to those that aren't Democrat in the Senate

Dear Jerry...Have you considered changing your meds? Maybe hitting an Anger Management course? While neither may be ideal candidates, I have to figure Trump would make a VASTLY superior president. But hey, vote for who you want to. It's America if you don't count California, New York or Massachusetts. And, of course, we should also not count Chicago as anything real. But Jerry, I am concerned about you. Try not to stroke out!

This is an outlier poll and as people see them both in the debates where Trump will have to be himself too many times and Hillary pointing them out and have actual policies, not bombast.......... Of course as he gets convicted of fraud he will be the shortest lived president in office if he did win........... You call Hillary a liar yet Trump is the king of liars, con artist and thief.. How do you stand such a vile person?.......... it says a lot about you.

There you go again, Jerryd. Only now you spelled your polling source as simply the liar's club. Anyone can vote for any person but it takes someone of your status to support a known liar, a criminal (in my mind), and she will be convicted of fraud. Unfortunately for you, dear Jerry, Mr. Trump may be flamboyant, makes outlandish comments, and yes, may have even told a fib or three. Hillary committed all of her 'sins' while on her own watch, allowing our enemies access to sensitive materials, allowing all those poor bureaucrats and soldiers to perish in a foreign land on hostile foreign soil! IF there is any liar running for office I would believe Hillary wins that race, and she'll certainly get your vote, meaningless as it seems, because I believe that people care about their country and whose hands it falls into. Boil it all down to TRUST, and Trump has my support because he has said what I, and a majority of good and decent Americans have said all along. My only change would in the phrase, "Let's make America Great Again" to "Let's Take Back America and make it Great Again!" GO TRUMP!!

Thanks again, Allison. Your credibility is showing.

Hopefully this is a serious comment, but coming from you, I doubt it. The article pretty much goes through what the poll showed, both ups and downs for both candidates. There's something for everyone here, Dems and Republicans, and I think this reporter hit on that. If you don't agree, maybe you're just here to start a fire, in which case, okay. But there are pluses and minuses for Trump and Clinton noted all over this story.

It is a serious comment. Her pollster is primarily a marketing company.

Good comment, John!

He's a lot more than edging.. look at the support he gets vs the Hillary supporters... she is a joke..

President Trump will be a very good President! GO TRUMP!!

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